Logos des partenaires : LÉO Université d'Orléans, CRED Panthéon-Assas Université Paris, Dauphine PSL

1st Workshop on Noncausal Econometrics

June 13-14, 2025 | Centre Panthéon

Organized by:

  • Gilles de Truchis
  • Elena Dumitrescu
  • Arthur Thomas

Day 1 - June 13

Time Event / Title Presenting Author Affiliation Co-author(s)
08h30-09h00 Registration and welcome coffee
09h00-09h50 Prediction of bubbles in presence of alpha-stable aggregates moving averages Arthur Thomas University of Paris Dauphine - PSL G. de Truchis and S. Fries
09h50-10h40 The causal-noncausal tail processes Gourieroux Christian University of Toronto,TSE and CREST Y. Lu and C. Robert
10h40-11h00 Coffee break
11h00-11h50 Estimation of time series models by auto-distance covariances Carlos Velasco Universidad Carlos III de Madrid X. Wang
11h50-12h40 Regularized Generalized Covariance (RGCov) Joann Jasiak York University F. Giancaterini, A. Hecq, A. Neyazi
12h40-14h00 Lunch (catered)
14h00-14h50 Seasonality in mixed causal-noncausal processes Tomás Del Barrio Castro Universitat de les Illes Balears A. Hecq and S. Telg
14h50-15h40 Testing for common roots in noncausal and noninvertible MARMA models Daniel Velasquez Gaviria Maastricht University
15h40-16h00 Coffee break
16h00-16h50 Bubble detection with application to green bubbles: a noncausal approach Alain Hecq Maastricht University F. Giancaterini, J. Jasiak, A. Neyazi
16h50-17h40 Sequential Monte Carlo for noncausal processes Francesco Giancaterini Universita di Roma G. Cubadda, S. Grassi
19h00 Dinner (invitation)

Day 2 - June 14

Time Event / Title Presenting Author Affiliation Co-author(s)
08h30-9h00 Welcome coffee
09h00-09h40 Generalized covariance estimator under misspecification Aryan Manafi Neyazi York University
09h40-10h20 Maximum likelihood estimation for non-stationary α-stable non-causal models Gabriele Mingoli Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam and Tinbergen Institute.
10h20-10h40 Coffee break
10h40-11h20 Causal-noncausal state space models and the modelling of financial bubbles Frederik Krabbe Aarhus University
11h20-12h20 Young Session Lison Christiaens
Ludivine Vaudrée
Julien Peignon
Maastricht University and HEC Liege
University of Orléans
Université Paris Dauphine - PSL
12h30-13h30 Lunch (invitation)